One of the emerging motifs of this presidential
election is President Bush's audacious
effort to construct a parallel universe
remote from the real condition of the world
and this country. In this parallel universe,
the president lives a kind of fantasy life: He's not responsible
for the domestic and international problems that have
characterized his first term; things are
rapidly getting better on every front;
he's got a practical and even visionary
plan for addressing the challenges he's
failed to deal with over the last four
years; and his opponent is a cartoon-character
pre-Clinton liberal who
wants to disarm America, raise taxes
on everybody, and expand big government.
Since the Bush-Cheney campaign
has moved heaven and earth to make
the incumbent's character his trump
card in this election, it's about time
everybody asked whether simple honesty
is a character trait that should be
valued in a president.
The strange nature of Mr. Bush's
parallel universe has been especially
apparent in four areas: national security,
the economy, health care, and the
federal budget.
National security. It's no secret that
Bush has largely staked his re-election
on the argument that he is the indispensable
man in keeping Americans
safe in a dangerous world. But that
argument depends on a series of surreal
claims about the incumbent's
record, his strategy for fighting terrorism,
the current conditions in
Afghanistan and Iraq, and his opponent's
national security credentials.
In Bush's parallel universe, he has
been unwavering in taking every possible
measure to destroy terrorists and
protect Americans. In particular, this
has become his rationale for the mess in
Iraq: Unwilling to take chances about
the alleged Iraqi WMD program or
vague suspicions of an alliance between
Saddam and al Qaeda, the president put
the safety of Americans first.
In the real world, the president has
flip-flopped on a vast array of issues
related to the war on terrorism -- the
Department of Homeland Security,
the 9/11 Commission, and intelligence
reform, to name but a few. Bush
launched military operations in
Afghanistan but then failed to take
advantage of a chance to capture
Osama bin Laden at Tora Bora. The
president opposed seeking international
support for the invasion of Iraq,
then made a half-hearted effort that
culminated in a largely token (aside
from Great Britain) "coalition of the
willing." He went into Iraq without a
plan for what to do after Saddam was
deposed, and without the forces necessary
to stabilize the country.
In Bush's parallel universe, the president's
determination to fight terrorism
unilaterally and preemptively has made
America more respected than ever. In
the real world, U.S. prestige and influence
are at an all-time low, especially in
the greater Middle East. We are clearly
losing the battle for hearts and minds
in the Islamic world, where our most
important allies remain anti-democratic
regimes with little intention of
addressing the thwarted aspirations for
political and economic freedom that
breed terrorism.
In Bush's parallel universe, the
alliances and international institutions
that the United States built during the
Cold War are useless relics that simply
restrain our ability to take forceful
action against terrorism. In the real
world, these alliances and institutions
provide the foundation for a new collective
security system focused on the
war against terrorism. But that's if, and
only if, the United States is willing to
show leadership and challenge civilized
nations to do their part.
And most dangerous of all, in Bush's
parallel universe he has intimidated terrorists
into fearful inaction by "taking
the fight" onto their home turf. In the
real world, gaps in our homeland security
structure and our intelligence systems,
and painfully slow progress in the
"wider war against terrorism" through
diplomacy and trade, have made us
persistently vulnerable to another
attack. The administration's sluggish
attitude about securing nuclear materials
around the world has exposed us
more than ever to the ultimate nightmare
of a nuclear 9/11.
The economy. Bush's stewardship of
the U.S. economy is a central issue in
American life, and in the presidential
contest. The incumbent has pursued a
consistent economic strategy based on
the monomaniacal idea that reducing
or even eliminating federal income
taxes on high earners, big heirs, and
dividend coupon-clippers is the key to
long-term economic growth. It's a
dumb, discredited strategy, but it's a
strategy nonetheless.
The Bush-Cheney campaign is trying
to construct a parallel universe that
distorts both candidates' records, philosophies,
and agendas. The incumbent's
economic message is that the administration
has turned the economy around
from the failures it inherited, and that
the challenger wants to "go back" to the
failed policies of the past.
In Bush's parallel universe, the
1990s boom was nothing more than a
speculative bubble that created imaginary
economic gains and then a sharp
recession. In the real world, most of
the economic gains of the Clinton
years were tangible and enduring. Real
wage income -- not just stock market
windfalls -- went up across the board,
year after year, for the first time in
three decades. The country made the
greatest sustained gains against poverty
since the 1960s, at the same time as we
created the first mass upper-middle
class in human history. The "ownership
society" that the president likes to
talk about as the centerpiece of his second-
term agenda actually began to
emerge during Clinton's presidency,
with record levels of homeownership
and middle-class capital investment.
America became the unquestioned
economic leader of the world. And of
course, a generation of budget deficits
turned into budget surpluses.
In Bush's parallel universe, the economic
record of the 1990s was the
result of the public policies of the
Reagan administration and had nothing
to do with the Clinton administration's
policies. In the real world, the
Clinton administration had a very
explicit and consistent economic
strategy -- fiscal discipline, support for
innovation and small business ownership,
a commitment to U.S. international
economic leadership, and investment
in the public infrastructure necessary
for growth, and in the skills and
knowledge of the American workforce.
In Bush's parallel universe, the economic
policies of the 1980s, and the
economy of the 1980s, are
the bright shining stars that
should guide America's
course. In the real world,
the economy of the 1980s
was a mixed bag of success
and failure, with one period
of growth shoehorned between two
deep recessions. The only constants
were the unprecedented and ever-growing
levels of budget deficits and debt,
along with rapid deterioration in nearly
every social indicator from violent crime
to teen pregnancy to homelessness to
welfare dependency. Real incomes for
wage earners were stagnant, even during
the periods of growth and relatively
high employment.
In Bush's parallel universe, the
administration's tax cut program is
simply a matter of letting Americans
"keep more of their earnings." In the
real world, Bush's tax cuts have been
aimed obsessively at reducing income
taxation for the wealthiest Americans,
while shifting the tax burden from
income derived from wealth to
income earned by work.
In Bush's parallel universe, American
success in an information-age global
economy is all about reducing the cost
of doing business through tax cuts, corporate
subsidies, lower labor costs, fewer
policies to support basic labor rights and
environmental goals, and a happy complacency
toward the offshoring of jobs
and foreign government practices that
violate international trade laws.
In the real world, a good business
climate also means support for innovation,
public investments in basic
scientific research, a highly skilled
workforce where workers' rights are
respected, an emphasis on new environmental
and energy technologies,
and a focus on creating the kind of
high-end jobs and industries that
draw on America's distinctive
strengths.
Health care. The strange nature of
Mr. Bush's parallel universe has been
especially apparent in his campaign's
attempts to frame the debate on
health care policy. On the campaign
trail, the president says that John
Kerry "has got a massive, complicated
blueprint to have our government
take over the decision making in
health care." The Bush-Cheney campaign
has run ads that not only repeat
the "big government" charge about
Kerry's health care plan, but also
assert that "President Bush and our
leaders in Congress have a practical
plan." Both claims are laughably out
of line with reality. Consider these
characterizations of Kerry's health
plan from the official Bush-Cheney
website:
"The Kerry Health Care Plan
Will Lead to Government-Run
Health Insurance. John Kerry's
health care plan amounts to little
more than the same government-run
health insurance schemes proposed
by Hillary Clinton in the 1990s.
The Kerry health plan will ration
care and place significant restrictions
on the services and medicines
that doctors can prescribe.
Meanwhile, it will displace
Americans with quality coverage
and force them to accept a government-
run health care plan that is
less effective, less efficient, and more
restrictive."
It's hard to know where to begin
in analyzing these four sentences of
total nonsense. The "government-run
health care plan" the Bush-Cheney
webpage refers to is the Federal
Employee Health Benefits Plan
(FEHPB), which provides health
insurance options for public employees,
including the president and
Congress. Kerry, like many other policymakers
from both parties, suggests
that Americans be given the opportunity
to voluntarily join the FEHBP
system, benefiting from the purchasing
power of the plan and its broad
array of choices for individual coverage.
Interestingly enough, the president
himself proposed making
FEHBP the centerpiece for Medicare
reform as one of the many now-discarded
promises of his 2000 campaign.
The general effort to identify the
Kerry plan with Clinton Care is a
deliberate distortion of both. The
Progressive Policy Institute's Health
Policy Wire put it well: "As an organization
that opposed President
Clinton's health care proposal
because it violated the principles of
managed competition by imposing
price controls and government limits
on health care spending, we can
assure you that John Kerry's health
care plan is not the same as President
Clinton's." The Bush-Cheney claim
that Kerry's plan involves rationing
of health care or restrictions on services
and medicines is literally made
up out of thin air.
Here's another howler from that
same Bush-Cheney webpage: "The
Kerry health care plan will cause
employers to drop existing coverage."
In fact, the Kerry plan takes great
pains to build on the strengths of
existing coverage, especially employer-
based coverage. The FEHBP buy-in
proposal in no way encourages
employers to "drop coverage"; in fact,
it simply offers them the opportunity
to provide their employees greater
health insurance options at lower
costs.
Bush's own plan, however, does
undermine existing coverage. Its central
thrust is to encourage the purchasing
of individual health insurance
policies, which are often far too
expensive for middle-class employees,
especially those with chronic health
care conditions.
Moreover, the single biggest threat
to existing employer-based coverage
is skyrocketing premiums, which,
according to the Kaiser Family
Foundation, have gone up an average
of $3,512 per family since the incumbent
took office. That's one of the
reasons the ranks of the uninsured
have gone up more than 5 million
during the same
period. And whatever
you think of
the Kerry health
plan in general, its
most striking feature
is a determined effort to hold
down rising health costs, especially
through its proposal to subsidize coverage
for the sickest and costliest
patients.
The federal budget. In the parallel
universe that the Bush-Cheney campaign
is trying to construct, any bad
news about budget deficits is
expunged, while anything that could
be construed, however dishonestly, as
good news is shouted to high heaven.
Hence, the president and the vice
president expressed pride and joy at
the September Congressional Budget
Office report that projected the
administration's proposals would produce
$4.4 trillion in red ink over the
next 10 years -- a figure only
marginally less calamitous than earlier
estimates had suggested.
All this evasion about the administration's
own fiscal policies has not kept
President Bush from attacking John
Kerry for alleged fiscal profligacy. The
president has routinely said his rival's
proposals would add $2 trillion to
federal spending over the
next 10 years. But in the
real world, a Washington
Post analysis concluded
that the president's election-
year agenda would
carry a $3 trillion price tag
over the next 10 years.
In Bush's parallel universe, the
president is a tough, corporate-style
manager holding the line against big
spenders in Washington. In the real
world, the president's party completely
controls a federal government
that is boosting spending at a rate
almost three times higher than in the
1990s.
In Bush's parallel universe, fiscal
responsibility does not involve any
tough, tangible choices; we can have
deep tax cuts on high incomes, on
investment income, and on big inheritances;
more spending both at home
and abroad; and a big fat government
with no real priorities. In the real
world, fiscal responsibility requires
both tough choices and real priorities,
as Kerry's detailed plan for
deficit reduction reflects, along with
his commitment to pare back any
spending proposals that the country
cannot afford.
Americans actually live in the real
world, where rhetoric and spin and
wishful thinking do not balance budgets
or fulfill the government's basic
moral responsibility for honest
accounting and proper stewardship of
public dollars. We need a real-world
debate on national security, the economy,
health care, and the federal budget.
Then we can give voters a real-life
choice about the leadership of our
country over the next four years.