Sprawl has gotten a bum rap -- sort of. It has become
an all-purpose political catchword for the rape of the
land by unscrupulous builders who would pave
over the Everglades given half a chance. Sure, there's
some truth in that caricature. And yes, the preservation
of open space should be a high priority. But sprawl is
also an expression of the upward mobility and growth in
home-ownership generated by our past half-century of
economic success.
America's wealth and freedom have yielded smaller
families with larger incomes living in bigger homes on
bigger lots spread out across the landscape. Low unemployment,
low interest rates, and rising incomes have
produced -- in the words of a veteran real estate agent
-- "the strongest market for new homes in 52 years." In
1990 amid a recession, there were 1.1 million housing
starts in the United States. In 1998 amid an expansion,
there were roughly 1.7 million starts, and if we count
manufactured homes, the figure rises to 2 million.
The benefits of economic expansion have allowed a
record number of Americans to buy homes for the first
time. An unprecedented 67 percent of Americans now
own their own homes. Black home-ownership has been
increasing at more than three times the rate for whites,
and today a record 45 percent of African-Americans are
now homeowners.
Sprawl is part of the price we're paying for creating
something new on the face of the earth: the first mass
upper-middle class. Net U.S. household worth has been
rising an unparalleled 10 percent each year since 1994. In
1970 only 3.2 percent of households had an annual income
of $100,000 (as measured in 1996 dollars); by 1996
the figure had risen to 8.2 percent. This prosperity is reflected
in the ever-increasing size of new homes -- many
of whose owners, no doubt, decry the arrival of yet more
"McMansions" and their occupants who clog local roads
and schools. In the 1980s homebuilders didn't even have
a statistical category for mass-produced houses larger
than 3,000 square feet; by 1996 one out of every seven
such homes built was larger than that.
Sprawl isn't just a manifestation of already well-to-do
whites getting even wealthier. It's also a reflection of upward
mobility among the lower-middle class.
In 1952 Samuel Lubell, one of the first giants of public-opinion
research, dedicated his book The Future of American
Politics to the memory of his mother "who pioneered
on the urban frontier." Lubell's family and others, like
those who settled the West generations earlier, traveled
on "The Old Tenement Trail" in search of a better life. In
New York, they abandoned the crowded tenements of the
Lower East Side for better housing in the South Bronx.
From there, wrote Lubell, they went to the West Bronx,
"crossing that Great Social Divide -- the Grand Concourse
-- beyond which rolled true middle-class country
where janitors were called superintendents." Every step
of the way, some of these families' homes in the old neighborhoods
were filled with new arrivals moving up the social
ladder, and the process began again.
Much-maligned sprawl is one of the reasons why the
immigrant tide of the 1990s -- the largest since the first
decade of this century -- has produced only a fraction of
the overcrowding we once associated with a new wave
of immigrants. Thanks to plentiful, affordable housing
in the suburbs, the once-teeming streets of the Lower
East Side are now populated at a fraction of their past
density, despite massive immigration.
Nancy Gonzalez is traveling along a modern version of
the Old Tenement Trail in southern Florida. An immigrant
single parent, she scrimped and saved to escape
from the overcrowded city and bought a small $82,000
house just beyond the city limits. Within a few years, she
was earning and saving more and traded up to a nicer
home in Kendall, a sprawling area 20 miles southwest of
downtown. If you asked her, Gonzalez wouldn't hesitate
to tell you how much better life in the suburbs is compared
with what she left behind in the both the Old
Country and Miami.
Kendall is every environmentalist's nightmare. An
eyesore that encroaches on the Everglades, it is mile after
mile of strip malls and auto dealerships adorned with
grotesquely large U.S. flags. It isn't pretty, but as Chuck
Lane of The New Republic recently put it, Kendall is "the
Queens of the late 20th century," a place where immigrants
like Gonzalez are buying into America. Carved out
of the palmetto wilderness, its population boomed from
roughly 20,000 in 1970 to 300,000 today. Farmland in the
1960s and a hip place for young whites in the 1970s,
Kendall increasingly became home to Cubans,
Nicaraguans, Costa Ricans, and others who arrived in the
United States with very little, looking for a place to work
their way up. Today, it is a remarkable example of integration.
In most of Kendall, notes University of Miami geographer
Peter Muller, "you can't point to a white or Latino
block because the populations are so intermixed."
Virginia Postrel, editor of the libertarian magazine
Reason, argues that the slow-growth movement is animated
by urban liberals who disdain the suburbs. (A
joke making the rounds: What's the difference between
an environmentalist and a developer? The environmentalist
already has his house in the mountains.) But slow-
growth sentiment has been growing in suburbs such as
Kendall as development turns into over-development
and traffic congestion into gridlock.
Regional governance, an idea with a strong logical
underpinning, is often promoted as a solution to sprawl.
Its backers argue that sprawl is the outcome of uncoordinated
choices made by individuals and townships seeking
to maximize their own advantage. But combined
together, those choices can produce outcomes no one
wanted. Coordinate the choices, backers of regionalism
say, and you'll get better outcomes.
Regionalism sounds good in theory but works less
well in practice. Southern Florida suffers under the governance
of the country's oldest experiment in regionalism.
Metro-Dade, the joint Miami-Dade County
government created in 1957, is wracked by corruption
and secession movements. In what The Orlando Sentinel
has dubbed "the battle to bring government closer to
home," places like Kendall are "lining up to bid the
county goodbye."
Metro-Dade has squelched local self-determination
without delivering efficiency, equity, or effective planning.
Here, sprawl and unresponsive government go
hand-in-hand and anti-sprawl and anti-consolidation
movements merge. Despite county-imposed growth
boundaries, Metro-Dade residents complain bitterly
about unchecked development. The county commission
-- many of whose members have been tarred by corruption
charges -- has been highly receptive to developers,
who are among the commissioners' most generous campaign
contributors.
The slow-growth movement is problematic for Republicans
and Democrats alike. Some Republicans try to duck
the issue while others insist on mounting a vigorous defense
of property rights. Either tack is sure to anger suburban
"Range Rover" Republicans, who are less concerned
about principle on this score than they are about
sprawl's immediate impact on their quality of life.
So far, Democrats have soft-pedaled plans to foster
cooperation among different levels of government and
discourage sprawl. But just beneath the surface, many
Democrats continue to cling to the old party faith of government
planning and economic redistribution.
There is no silver bullet solution to problems produced
by sprawl. It is an unavoidable part of our future.
The challenge for Democrats is to learn how to curb
sprawl's worst effects without reducing the wealth and
freedom that helped give us sprawl in the first place.